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26/09/2024, 11:15

Which central banks will head for neutral?

In the past couple of days, we’ve heard Bank of Japan and Bank of England governors suggest that policy rates will likely head for “neutral” as policy is adjusted. The...

by Admin
10/09/2024, 11:57

Will the ECB deliver its second rate cut?

While attention is undoubtedly on the prospect for the first rate cut from the Fed later this month, the ECB could deliver its second rate cut in the cycle on Thursday.

by Admin
02/07/2024, 11:50

What’s best for a currency?

A left-leaning but stable government, or a right-of-centre government that is inherently unstable? We could be about to find out in the UK as the electorate is likely to...

by Admin
06/05/2024, 11:48

FED is still minded to ease

Our understanding of this week’s Fed policy statement and press conference from Chair Powell is that the bank is still minded to ease.

by Admin
26/02/2024, 11:43

Is it time to buy sterling?

Currency investors probably won’t have the patience to buy sterling now in anticipation of what may turn out to be false hopes, but it is still an issue to look out for....

by Admin
23/01/2024, 14:42

ECB has fallen behind the curve again?

If you look at market pricing of rate policy this year, you will see that it projects that the ECB will start to reduce rates a little later than the Fed and cut rates...

by Admin
12/01/2024, 11:08

What will drive the pound in 2024?

There has been some talk recently that political parties vying to win this year’s UK election could propose the sort of fiscal largesse that rekindles memories of the...

by Admin
20/12/2023, 11:36

Will central banks cut rates as expected?

Perhaps understandably, there’s been what might be called ‘rate-cut-creep’ in the markets as it seems that both analysts and market pricing have inched forward the...

by Admin
14/12/2023, 11:50

Trust in some central banks is declining

Trust in the Fed Chair is the lowest it has ever been according to Gallup and if you think that this is only a problem in the US, just look at the UK where politicians...

by Admin
20/11/2023, 11:52

Will ECB cut rates before the FED?

The big central banks in Europe – the ECB and Bank of England – will start to cut rates before the Fed. But that’s not what is being priced in by the market, according...

by Admin
26/10/2023, 11:41

Fed is expected to start the easing cycle

At the moment, it seems that the Fed is expected to start the easing cycle, at least in terms of rate cuts, before major European central banks such as the ECB and BoE.

by Admin