It’s not a new word, but “Nexit” is something that we might start to hear more about in the wake of the shock victory for far-right popularist Geert Wilders in the...
A poll from YouGov showed that nearly twice as many people thought that Labour had achieved more in office than the Conservatives have. Indeed, for many,...
Just in the past week, or so, there have been two developments that could, in theory at least, improve the pound’s fortunes. However, sterling still looks vulnerable.
IMF’s current forecast that the UK will shrink 0.6% this year is at the stronger end of the consensus.
Nobody seems to believe in the UK government’s view that it can get growth to 2.5% and keep it there.
It is just over six years since the UK public voted to leave the EU. But rather than getting better it seems that each anniversary marks a new low.
The pound has been very stable in trade-weighted terms since the EU referendum slump in 2016. But is this deserved?
It still looks very likely that the UK economy will fall into recession, or at least experience a period of extremely weak growth, despite the government’s GBP15bn...
Sterling has been under particular pressure since the Bank of England warned last week that the economy could be sinking into a stagflationary quagmire. If that’s not...
The dark clouds of recession are starting to hang over many advanced countries right now, but it seems to us that the UK is at greater risk than most, and this clearly...
Brexit has been going for a little over a year, and most assessments seem to be that it is not going particularly well. Yet sterling is up by nearly 6% in...
GBP has been very steady for some years now. The question for 2022 is whether this stability will persist.
The UK economy has performed relatively poorly compared to its peers but not because of Covid. It probably explains why sterling has not been able to recapture the...
The UK is not alone in suffering supply-chain difficulties, but it is in the worst position than many, and part of this is down to Brexit.
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