It will be a minor miracle if most European countries can escape a recession and pretty close to a miracle if the US can avoid a similar fate.
For many economies, especially in Europe, the question is not whether economies will enter a recession, but whether they will experience hard or soft landings.
Central bankers continue to claim that inflation can be tamed without causing recessions.
Central banks are pressing on with policy tightening and, for the most part, they are increasingly acting in a more hawkish fashion than the market expects.
The gold price may continue to go up next week as investors worry that the Federal Reserve (FED)'s quick rate hike will push the US economy into recession.
The Federal Reserve (FED) is massively behind the curve given the surge in inflation, and now it is in the process of catching up. This is, however, unlikely to go as...
It will likely lead to a choice whereby policymakers will have to decide whether to accept higher levels of inflation, or to drive economies into recession.
Policymakers, particularly at the Fed, might decide to accept a bit more inflation than they have been used to in the past to try to ensure that the economy stays in the...
The recent inversion of the 10s-2s yield curve in the US has revived all those old concerns that a recession could be just around the corner.
The former Bank of England MPC member Danny Blanchflower ever released a piece of research suggesting that the US economy was entering a recession.
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