Interest rate outlook for 2023
With little prospect of monetary expansion in 2023, central banks may continue to tighten their monetary policies.
With little prospect of monetary expansion in 2023, central banks may continue to tighten their monetary policies.
Over the holiday period there’s been an interesting debate about inflation stirred by former IMF chief economist, Olivier Blanchard.
Should central banks try to guide the public’s expectations of interest rates?
The Fed, ECB, BOE and SNB all hiked 50-bps while Norges Bank announced a smaller 25-bps hike.
The euro has rallied quite significantly against the US dollar over the past two months. Some might argue that it has been cooking on gas, both metaphorically and...
The FED could be less aggressive but will not stop interest rate hikes soon, according to KB Securities.
Stagflation continues to haunt developed countries. The inflationary part of the story has been around for some time, and now the recessionary risks are coming to the...
The European Central Bank (ECB) announced a 75 basis point rate hike, taking its benchmark rate to 0.75%. However, such rate hike won’t save the euro.
There’s no sign of a let-up in US dollar strength although a large ECB rate hike this week might give the euro bulls some hope.
With inflation rising dramatically, the critics are out and, not surprisingly, central banks are in the firing line.
The euro might actually prove more vulnerable against currencies that have not already rallied against the single currency – like the yen.
The ECB introduced its Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) last week to replace the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT).
The ECB surprised markets by pushing its benchmark rate up by 50 basis points, bringing its deposit rate to zero.
If the ECB fails to prevent destabilising fragmentation risk in the bond market with its soon-to-be revealed plan it could hamper the euro’s chances of recovery.
The ECB seems to be facing the conundrum as inflation continues to soar. It can tighten policy much faster than generally anticipated to show that it is determined to...
Many financial analysts doubt if there is any intervention to stop the US dollar from rising.
Most central banks want workers to keep wage demands down so that their economies do not enter a dangerous wage/price spiral. But there are already plenty of signs that...
The euro received a welcome boost over the past days after Dutch ECB member Knot became the first to hint that the ECB could lift rates 50-bps rather than 25-bps when...
There has been a good deal of speculation recently that the ECB is at least thinking about creating some sort of new stabilisation mechanism that could be used should...
The ECB is in an invidious position. It, probably more than any other G10 central bank, faces the greatest risk of stagflation.
A large number of central banks have lifted policy rates already and many more are waiting in the wings to kick off their own rate-hike cycles. However, a balancing act...
CPI inflation in the United States is 7.5% while it is 5% in the euro zone. Why are both the Fed and ECB still easing policy?