Will high inflation stick this year?
The crucial uncertainty most central banks face is whether the surge in inflation will stick.
The crucial uncertainty most central banks face is whether the surge in inflation will stick.
Euro zone annual inflation hit 5% in December 2021, more than twice the highest it has ever been. You might have thought that ECB hawks, such as those from Germany,...
The issue of quantitative tightening by central banks has come onto the radar screen in the past month as the Fed revealed that it had talked about allowing maturing...
Through last year, many experts said that the Fed and many other central banks were wrong to suggest that inflation was transitory.
The euro slid by a modest 4%, or so, in trade-weighted terms last year as, like most currencies, volatility was pretty low.
The major central banks will all hold monetary policy meetings next week. But while some, such as the ECB and Bank of England seem to be suggesting that Omicron-related...
The German government change and Bundesbank president’s early departure could push the trend of a stable euro towards one of a weaker euro.
A big issue for bond and currency markets is the extent to which central banks fall behind the curve as they look to respond to rising inflation.
As some G10 central banks start to lift policy rates, or seemingly get close to rate hikes, so others that appear further behind in the rate-hike cycle are being dragged...
Central banks have issued new policies are suited to fighting the “new” war, which is against inflation, not deflation.
ECB tightening has the same global spillovers as Fed tightening. There are three points that we should note in this regard.
Economic growth is surging in the developed nations, inflation is rising sharply, some central banks have already started to pare back their monetary stimulus,...
Central banks are forecasting that the overshoot in inflation will prove temporary. Private sector economists are saying the same thing and so too are the financial...
Both the ECB and Fed have announced new monetary policy strategies in the past year. And both would appear to imply that, for now at least, policy will be run in a...
The euro zone’s inflation has not risen materially, outside of energy, but the ECB should still be able to pare back monetary stimulus from next year.
The ECB announced the changes to its monetary policy strategy that result from the strategic review that it began last year.
In Standard Bank’s view, both the Fed and the ECB announce prospective changes to their quantitative easing programmes in the time to come.