Outlook for central banks’ monetary policy
Austrian ECB member, and noted hawk Robert Holzman described the Fed as being the “gorilla in the room” when it comes to ECB decisions on policy easing.
Austrian ECB member, and noted hawk Robert Holzman described the Fed as being the “gorilla in the room” when it comes to ECB decisions on policy easing.
The UK sits in a position where it is geographically part of Europe but economically perhaps more akin to the US economy than that of a typical European country.
Our understanding of this week’s Fed policy statement and press conference from Chair Powell is that the bank is still minded to ease.
If there is a consensus running through the global macro debate, it seems to be that the US economy will continue to outshine other countries, the Fed will delay its...
Gold prices have surged dramatically in response to the Israel-Iran conflct. What would happen to gold prices if the two parties stop repaying one other?
Unsurprisingly, speculation that the FED won’t be able to cut rates until later in the year, if at all, is weighing on foreign currencies, especially in emerging...
In a number of regards everything seems to have been going right in the US in recent years, and going wrong elsewhere. But the US dollar has been quite static. Why is...
Last week, we heard from policymakers at two European central banks; the ECB and the Riksbank. But while their economic situations and monetary policy outlooks appear...
Although USD/VND rates remain under intense pressure, many specialists believe that these pressures will only last temporarily.
The Bank of Japan lifted the short-term policy rate for the first time in seventeen years last week but the yen still languishes close to its weakest level against...
The Swiss National Bank destroyed this image with its surprise 25-bps rate cut. It is what other central banks might do?
According to financial analysts, deposit rates have hit their lowest level in years and would be tough to cut further, while lending rates continue to fall.
That’s what we think other G10 central banks should – and will - do when they consider rate policy this year. It means that they should still push ahead with rate cuts...
Currency markets have been remarkably stable; particularly the key currency pairing, euro/dollar. But why is that, and is it likely to persist?
Inflation is crucial, and, on this score, the risk is that the Fed will have to keep rates higher for longer; not the ECB.
According to Mr. Phung Xuan Minh, Chairman of Saigon Ratings, Vietnam's economy steadily recovered in 2023, stabilised, and laid the groundwork for development...
We’ve already seen in the space of a few short weeks the market adjust its expectations for rate cuts this year from around six 25-bps reductions to four.
We’d still expect the US dollar to rally for the safe-asset reasons.
Last week’s FOMC meeting was generally seen as somewhat more hawkish than expected. A few days later, US payroll data for January was a lot stronger than anticipated....
The global economy has defied a hard landing in 2023. As 2024 unfolds, a new but more complex economic landscape is taking shape.
If investors want to seek safety from the global risks, how can they find it?
If you look at market pricing of rate policy this year, you will see that it projects that the ECB will start to reduce rates a little later than the Fed and cut rates...