Many financial markets have got themselves into a flap recently over the possibility of a US recession.
Turmoil in risky assets such as equities might have been sparked by concerns about the US economy but, in reality, we think that the rapid unwinding of yen-funded trades...
Seafood exports for June 2024 are estimated to have reached $875 million, marking a 14% increase compared to the same period last year and the highest monthly export...
In the Standard Bank’s view, and probably the view of everybody else, there are two main scenarios for the path of the US economy and Fed policy.
The global economy has defied a hard landing in 2023. As 2024 unfolds, a new but more complex economic landscape is taking shape.
The US economy is streets ahead of its peers, but the US dollar is not. Does this mean that there’s something wrong with the US dollar?
US consumers spent at a rip-roaring pace in Q3 but, by some measures, consumer confidence is at levels consistent with recession. What’s going on?
It is interesting that the US economy has just grown by close to 5% in annualised terms in Q3 and yet there’s a good deal of talk that recession is imminent. That might...
The question now is whether the landing for the US economy remains smooth, or whether it’s one of those landings where the plane bounces up again and veers off the...
There seems to be growing interest in the outperformance of the US economy compared to many of its G10 peers; something that could potentially lift the dollar further....
The prospect of rate cuts will come into view around the spring or summer of 2024, in the Standard Bank’s opinion.
Growth in advanced economies in late 2022 and early 2023 slowed less than expected, as tight labor markets supported robust wage growth and prevented a sharper slowdown...
The US has experienced no recession at all on the GDP measure according to the official adjudicators of recession in the US; the National Association of Business...
It is widely agreed that the U.S. will probably show more resilience than most against the looming global slowdown or recession.
They say that if there’s no pain then there’s no gain and we can arguably put the Fed and other central banks in this category. They need to create pain in order to...
After two consecutive falls in 1H22, the U.S GDP is now back to the levels it was at the end of 2021.
FED Chair Powell says that the US will experience “pain” in reducing inflation to target.
The Federal Reserve (FED) continues to predict that the US economy will enjoy a soft landing with no fall in GDP and barely any rise in the unemployment rate required to...
The US economy shrunk an annualised 0.9% in Q2, which was far worse than anticipated after it contracted in Q1.
After a fall in Q1 GDP of 1.6%, market estimates for Q2 currently range from -0.6% to 1.2%. If GDP is negative, it will mark a recession in many people’s eyes given two...
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the world economy is projected to grow by 4.9% YoY in 2022F, from an unusually high level in 2021F (5.9% YoY).
The headlines over the past time reported a significant deceleration in US economic growth in the third quarter.
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