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16/10/2025, 11:00

Be cautious about the US economic outlook

The US economy has not slumped under the weight of tariffs; inflation has not risen materially, and financial asset prices have performed very well. But look under the...

by Admin
13/10/2025, 02:00

Extra land use fees should be eliminated soon

In light of the fact that real estate enterprises continue to face several challenges, the payment of large extra land use fees has added to the burden on many...

by Admin
02/10/2025, 10:35

Why has the FX market become quiescent?

The FX market has become quiescent after a rush of volatility in the spring around the time of President Trump’s tariff bombshell. That’s good news for currencies,...

by Admin
19/09/2025, 11:01

Prospects for the Fed’s rate cuts

Unless price data perks up quickly, many analysts say that the Fed’s next few rate cuts will be mostly uncontroversial.

by Admin
17/09/2025, 11:04

Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps?

Unless just about everybody is wrong, the Federal Reserve will cut the fed funds target by 25-bps to a range of 4.0%-4.25% this week.

by Admin
15/09/2025, 09:59

Is the US economy at risk of recession?

According to Sahm rules, the US recession has begun when the three-month moving average of the unemployment rises by 0.5% points or more above the lowest point for the...

by Admin
11/09/2025, 11:00

Will the Fed cut rates next week?

The Fed looks set to re-start rate cuts next week and could take the fed funds target rate down by as much as 150-bps by the middle of next year. However, we doubt rates...

by Admin