Prospects for global inflation
Few would deny that forecasting inflation has been hard over the past few years.
Few would deny that forecasting inflation has been hard over the past few years.
If there is a consensus running through the global macro debate, it seems to be that the US economy will continue to outshine other countries, the Fed will delay its...
Gold prices have surged dramatically in response to the Israel-Iran conflct. What would happen to gold prices if the two parties stop repaying one other?
Unsurprisingly, speculation that the FED won’t be able to cut rates until later in the year, if at all, is weighing on foreign currencies, especially in emerging...
In a number of regards everything seems to have been going right in the US in recent years, and going wrong elsewhere. But the US dollar has been quite static. Why is...
Last week, we heard from policymakers at two European central banks; the ECB and the Riksbank. But while their economic situations and monetary policy outlooks appear...
There is an enormous focus on when central banks, particularly the Fed, will start to reduce rates and the number of likely cuts in 2024.
Gold prices have climbed dramatically during the last three years, owing to three primary drivers. How will gold prices move next week?
In theory, the words “politics” and “Fed” should not appear in the same sentence. Fed policy is carried out independently of any political bias and data since its...
Japan has a debt ratio of over 250% against around 100% in the US, while BoJ assets are some 125% of GDP against just over 25% for the Fed.
Although USD/VND rates remain under intense pressure, many specialists believe that these pressures will only last temporarily.
While gold prices have gained considerably this week, U.S. employment data and the Fed Chairman's comments might put them at danger next week.
Financial markets continue to look for the Federal Reserve and the ECB to begin monetary policy easing cycles in June, while expectations for the Bank of...
Recently, the State of Bank (SBV) withdrew VND 30,000 billion through the T-bills channel, contributing to reducing exchange rate pressure. This is just one of the moves...
A plethora of central bank meetings this week threatens to temporarily reverse the significant fall in currency market volatility that has been in place for some time.
According to financial analysts, deposit rates have hit their lowest level in years and would be tough to cut further, while lending rates continue to fall.
That’s what we think other G10 central banks should – and will - do when they consider rate policy this year. It means that they should still push ahead with rate cuts...
Currency markets have been remarkably stable; particularly the key currency pairing, euro/dollar. But why is that, and is it likely to persist?
Inflation is crucial, and, on this score, the risk is that the Fed will have to keep rates higher for longer; not the ECB.
The Fed Chairman's testimony to Congress and February's nonfarm payrolls data (NFP) are expected to have a significant influence on gold prices next week.
We’ve already seen in the space of a few short weeks the market adjust its expectations for rate cuts this year from around six 25-bps reductions to four.
In 2024, production will gradually recover so imports will likely grow a bit faster than exports, but in general, the overall balance will still help Việt Nam take the...