Many analysts anticipate that the US dollar will undergo a second period of notable weakness in coming months. It might not be as dramatic as that seen this spring but...
Sometimes important announcements produce significant and instantaneous reactions in currencies. Be they about data, policy – central bank sackings. But sometimes they...
FED independence has increased over time and inflation has come down. But correlation is not the same as causation.
Given the State Bank of Vietnam's (SBV) intervention and the approaching month of September, when the Fed is generally expected to announce a rate cut, the USD/VND...
At Jackson Hole, Fed Chair Powell signaled a possible interest rate cut at the U.S. central bank's meeting next month.
According to many analysts, the gold price is unlikely to rise sharply next week after the Jackson Hole Symposium because investors remain cautious.
Many analysts are pretty sure that Fed Chair Powell won’t say this at Friday’s Jackson Hole symposium that the Fed has been put in an impossible position by politics....
G10 currency volatility remains at very low levels but many analysts expect volatility to pick up as we go through the rest of the year.
The current economic slowdown pushes the Fed to lower rates to around neutral, or even lower, but persistent inflation forces Fed to ‘tweak’ rates back up, possibly late...
We see three reasons why the US dollar could slide in coming weeks and months. The slide could push euro/dollar into a 1.20-1.25 range and drag dollar/yen down to the...
The narrowing VND-USD interest rate differential during July helped curb the upward pressure on the exchange rate. However, pressure on USD/VND will remain big by...
The Fed has not cut rates so far this year but FOMC members forecast two rate cuts in 2025 at their June meeting and the market is priced for two cuts as well.
Many analysts expect the Bank of England (BoE) to cut the base rate by 25 bps today. They would like to see more. But more should come in time as they see the Bank...
Even if some of the uncertainty related to the US’s erratic tariff policy starts to ease off, there are still the economic impacts of tariffs to consider and, these are...
The tariff-related vulnerability of the US dollar switches to a vulnerability borne of Federal Reserve policy. As a result, the US dollar could fall with euro/US dollar...
If interest rates have any bearing at all on currencies, it is in real (inflation-adjusted) terms, not nominal terms. So, the fact that the Fed looks as if it will cut...
Many analysts expect the Fed to hold interest rates steady next week, putting more downward pressure on gold prices.
The US has introduced punitive tariffs this year and the US dollar has fallen. This is not how it’s supposed to be. Theory and historical experience suggest that the...
Federal Reserve Chair Powell continues to come under attack from President Trump and it does seem to have started unnerving the markets a bit. But what can the...
With longer-term bond yields rising, in spite of widespread policy easing, there seems to be more reason to think that neutral rates are still rising.
The Trump Administration has moved at breakneck speed this year with tariffs, tax cuts, deportations and more. Are there any brakes on the pace of and extent of US...
Short-term gold prices lack significant support. As a result, gold prices may struggle to break through in the coming week unless there are new, strong "catalysts."
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