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19/10/2021, 11:10
FED and BoE are too woke?
Not for the first time, central bankers in advanced countries such as the US and UK have been accused of being too woke.
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13/10/2021, 13:15
What to see from the global financial cycle?
As we inch slowly but surely towards Fed tapering and later, rate hikes, the significance of the Fed as the key determinant of the global financial cycle will be clear...
12/10/2021, 11:00
Central banks to fight the “new” war
Central banks have issued new policies are suited to fighting the “new” war, which is against inflation, not deflation.
11/10/2021, 11:10
Could the BoE hike rates this year?
The UK interest rate markets have moved dramatically in recent weeks with futures markets now pricing in the very real possibility of a small (15-bps) rate hike by the...
01/10/2021, 11:10
How will central banks tighten monetary policy?
At the moment, there are many views of inflation, in which FED said that it is a little less transitory. How will central banks tighten monetary policy?
01/10/2021, 03:17
What are the prospects for global oil price?
Global oil price could continue its uptrend thanks to the sluggish supply and global demand recovery. However, FED's rates hike and US-Iran nuclear talks could be...
29/09/2021, 11:10
How will USD move during the Biden years?
Biden administration’s tax hike plan, coupled with the Fed’s own relaxed inflation target, could weigh on the greenback as well.
28/09/2021, 11:34
What has pushed up inflationary pressure?
It does matter whether it is a demand or supply shock that is creating the inflationary pressure.
24/09/2021, 03:38
Will VND continue an uptrend against USD?
Many experts said the VND would continue to strengthen against USD by end-2021. However, this trend could be reversed next year.
23/09/2021, 11:05
FX market to look for new catalysts
Currency volatility is very low. It seems that the FX market is looking for new catalysts from central banks.
22/09/2021, 11:03
How long will FED tighten monetary policy?
As we get closer to the next FOMC meeting on Wednesday, the markets obsession is with the starting point. When will the Fed start to taper its bond purchases and then,...
14/09/2021, 12:14
Global inflation is more than temporary
Policymakers, and most analysts believe that the surge we have seen in inflation will be temporary. That’s likely to be correct although much depends on what we mean by...
11/09/2021, 11:27
Risk of policy mistakes from central banks
The risk of policy mistakes from government and central banks is high because of Covid-19. This is not just because nobody has lived through a global pandemic before; it...
07/09/2021, 11:49
How do central banks rebalance their currency shares?
The most significant example of ongoing intervention in FX has been from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) as it tries to stop the franc from rising too rapidly against the...
03/09/2021, 11:15
Three spillovers from FED and ECB’s tightening cycle
ECB tightening has the same global spillovers as Fed tightening. There are three points that we should note in this regard.
30/08/2021, 11:26
Will USD fluctuate ahead of Fed’s tightening cycle?
FED has started considering its tightening cycle, in which it could taper its bond purchases before rates hike. Will USD fluctuate ahead of this cycle?
25/08/2021, 15:43
How will FED’s tapering impact USD?
It seems pretty well accepted that asset purchases by central banks do have effects on exchange rates and, very often, they are similar effects to changes in interest...
17/08/2021, 11:20
How will monetary policy changes impact the FX market?
The possible near-term FX market stability will include the outlook for Fed policy and whether tensions in Afghanistan create a wider risk-off sentiment in the...
10/08/2021, 11:10
Will U.S inflationary pressure ease?
This week sees another inflation test in the US in the shape of the July CPI data. The monthly CPI is forecasted to increase by an average of 0.2% per month since the...
07/08/2021, 05:10
How does the risk aversion impact USD?
The dollar usually rises when risk aversion soars. Numerous emerging market crises, the global financial crisis and, most recently, the pandemic have all proved this...
05/08/2021, 12:42
How do central banks deal with excess liquidity?
Economic growth is surging in the developed nations, inflation is rising sharply, some central banks have already started to pare back their monetary stimulus,...
03/08/2021, 11:41
Will the global inflation remain temporary?
Central banks are forecasting that the overshoot in inflation will prove temporary. Private sector economists are saying the same thing and so too are the financial...
