The Fed has not cut rates so far this year but FOMC members forecast two rate cuts in 2025 at their June meeting and the market is priced for two cuts as well.
If interest rates have any bearing at all on currencies, it is in real (inflation-adjusted) terms, not nominal terms. So, the fact that the Fed looks as if it will cut...
Many economists and financial markets are banking on only a modest and temporary lift to US inflation from tariffs.
Adverse shocks to supply tend to lift inflation and lower growth.
The Personal Consumption Expenditure Price (PCE) index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, will be released on Friday and could significantly impact gold prices...
If inflationary pressure is caused by this deglobalisation trend, and not the undermining of central bank independence, then it is likely to be experienced by all...
MBS expects the Vietnamese average CPI for 2025 to increase by 3.9% yoy - lower than the government’s target of 4.5% - 5%.
The US dollar has fallen by as much as 6% this quarter against other developed currencies (on the DXY index).
As tariffs are thought to produce a one-time lift to US inflation, so the lift to the dollar may prove temporary and not permanent.
It may be necessary to accept a certain level of higher inflation because injecting more money into business requires this trade-off.
The higher-than-expected US CPI data for January may cause FED to slow its rate cuts in 2025.
The FED could see plenty more evidence of rising inflation expectations before considering action amid Trump’s tariffs.
In 2024, the Vietnamese banking industry faced continuing headwinds with flexible policies on sectoral administration and inflation control and strong restructuring...
There’s pretty widespread agreement that US tariffs will lead to lower growth than would have otherwise been the case, and higher inflation.
Economists have identified a range of factors that may exert inflationary pressure in 2025, including geopolitical risks, global trade disruptions and domestic...
It seems to have been inflation expectations that have accounted for a bigger proportion of the rise in bond yields recently.
Economists Brian Lee Shun Rong and Chua Hak Bin of the Maybank Group propose that the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) should maintain policy interest rates in 2025 as long...
The forecasts were presented by experts at the scientific conference titled ’Market and Price Developments in Việt Nam in 2024 and Forecasts for 2025’ organised by the...
In many respects, the US seems to be in a perfect place: growth is robust, the economy is at full employment, and inflation is easing down to the Fed’s target.
According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), monetary policy in the coming time will face many pressures, including the impacts of the international context and the...
According to the report of the Ministry of Finance, there are still some factors that put pressure on price levels in the remaining months of 2024, so the Ministry has...
Vietnam exports are expected to maintain further growth thanks to exports to the US; declining inflation; bright prospects of the global semiconductor industry;…
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