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20/08/2025, 11:08

Will the ECB cut rates one more this year?

The US tariffs’ impact on eurozone growth could be bigger than the models might suggest that inflation will be lower, and that the ECB will be pushed into at least one...

by Admin
19/08/2025, 14:39

Will G10 currency volatility pick up?

G10 currency volatility remains at very low levels but many analysts expect volatility to pick up as we go through the rest of the year.

by Admin
12/08/2025, 11:10

Triple whammy for the US dollar

We see three reasons why the US dollar could slide in coming weeks and months. The slide could push euro/dollar into a 1.20-1.25 range and drag dollar/yen down to the...

by Admin
11/08/2025, 11:10

Prospects for the USD/VND by year-end

The narrowing VND-USD interest rate differential during July helped curb the upward pressure on the exchange rate. However, pressure on USD/VND will remain big by...

by Admin
11/08/2025, 02:00

Coordinated mechanisms to lower lending rates

The State Bank of Viet Nam (SBV) continues to urge the commercial banking system to maintain stable deposit rates and strive to reduce lending rates, considering this a...

by Admin
08/08/2025, 11:04

How much will the FED cut rates by year-end?

The Fed has not cut rates so far this year but FOMC members forecast two rate cuts in 2025 at their June meeting and the market is priced for two cuts as well.

by Admin
07/08/2025, 11:06

Will the BoE continue to cut interest rates?

Many analysts expect the Bank of England (BoE) to cut the base rate by 25 bps today. They would like to see more. But more should come in time as they see the Bank...

by Admin
06/08/2025, 11:10

US tariffs: What impacts on the US dollar?

Even if some of the uncertainty related to the US’s erratic tariff policy starts to ease off, there are still the economic impacts of tariffs to consider and, these are...

by Admin
30/07/2025, 11:11

Will the US dollar drop on the US tariffs?

The tariff-related vulnerability of the US dollar switches to a vulnerability borne of Federal Reserve policy. As a result, the US dollar could fall with euro/US dollar...

by Admin
29/07/2025, 11:11

How do interest rates impact currencies?

If interest rates have any bearing at all on currencies, it is in real (inflation-adjusted) terms, not nominal terms. So, the fact that the Fed looks as if it will cut...

by Admin
18/07/2025, 11:06

Neutral rates are still rising

With longer-term bond yields rising, in spite of widespread policy easing, there seems to be more reason to think that neutral rates are still rising.

by Admin
16/07/2025, 11:21

Why has the pound started to fall back?

The pound remains under modest pressure on a trade-weighted basis after marking out a recent high back in late May. The Standard Bank lowered its expectations for...

by Admin
15/07/2025, 02:38

Policy rates may fall even further

According to economists Brian Lee Shun Rong and Chua Hak Bin from Maybank Group, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) has maintained accommodative policy through the first...

by Admin
14/07/2025, 11:06

Is there any brake on the US tariffs?

The Trump Administration has moved at breakneck speed this year with tariffs, tax cuts, deportations and more. Are there any brakes on the pace of and extent of US...

by Admin