The slump in the US stock market, as well as the expiration of futures contracts in June and the reorganization of international ETFs, will have a negative influence on...
Major central banks have two main avenues to tighten financial conditions: higher rates and quantitative tightening.
Major central banks are pushing on with rate hikes and, from what we’ve already been told, the likes of the Fed, BoE and ECB will be unveiling new or further hikes in...
The FED suggested that, after two rate hikes this year, it would continue to raise rates in the coming months to keep inflation under control.
Most central banks want workers to keep wage demands down so that their economies do not enter a dangerous wage/price spiral. But there are already plenty of signs that...
The euro received a welcome boost over the past days after Dutch ECB member Knot became the first to hint that the ECB could lift rates 50-bps rather than 25-bps when...
The dollar looks set to stay at the front of the G10 currency pack as other countries, particularly in Europe, struggle with stagflation risks and the Fed pushes on with...
After two years of ultra-easy policy to sustain the economy hit severely by COVID-19, the FED became more hawkish. This had a significant impact on the Vietnamese and...
The USD/VND exchange rate would countinue to rise slightly thanks to stable USD supplies.
The BoJ could adjust policy as soon as possible, so it seems more likely that this concern over the yen is not that pressing at all.
Thanks to increases in savings interest rates, deposits at banks increased strongly in the first two months of this year after declining last year.
The ECB is in an invidious position. It, probably more than any other G10 central bank, faces the greatest risk of stagflation.
The FED’s rate hike at March meeting led to some interesting discussions over whether Vietnam might follow the FED and raise its policy rates.
The FED meeting brought the median FOMC forecast for the fed funds target into line with what we have been arguing for some time now, which is a 25-bps rate hike at each...
This week is likely to see rate hikes from the Fed and BoE, and a possible default on external debt by Russia. But as big as these events are, it will still be the...
A large number of central banks have lifted policy rates already and many more are waiting in the wings to kick off their own rate-hike cycles. However, a balancing act...
GBP has been very steady for some years now. The question for 2022 is whether this stability will persist.
Statistics about U.S inflation and the labor market are the two drivers for the Fed's actions in the coming time.
As some G10 central banks start to lift policy rates, or seemingly get close to rate hikes, so others that appear further behind in the rate-hike cycle are being dragged...
Major currencies would be broadly stable ahead of next week’s likely announcement by the Fed that it will start to taper is bond purchases. But rather than a source of...
The UK interest rate markets have moved dramatically in recent weeks with futures markets now pricing in the very real possibility of a small (15-bps) rate hike by the...
In short term, the market danced to the Fed’s tune, believing that its signal of two rate hikes in 2023 is sufficient to tamp down any surge in price fears that might be...
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