Public debt, the technology market bubble, and protectionism are casting a shadow over the agenda of the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the...
According to Sahm rules, the US recession has begun when the three-month moving average of the unemployment rises by 0.5% points or more above the lowest point for the...
There is clear speculation that many countries could enter a recession as a result of the US tariff shock. This includes not just the recipients of higher US tariffs,...
While it is very possible that 2025 pans out the way that most expect, the room for leftfield events to upset the status quo appears elevated. In what follows we outline...
Recessionary fears continue to stalk the US and they could step up another gear when payroll data are weaker than expected.
This week saw the release of two surveys, one from the US and one from Germany. Neither seemed to stir much interest in the market which is not surprising as the focus...
Many financial markets have got themselves into a flap recently over the possibility of a US recession.
There seem to be a number of factors, that have clear historical precedent, that could squeeze the dollar much higher, even if only temporarily. Most of these factors...
Public opinion on current developments and expectations for the future are self-evidently of crucial importance for policymakers, and perhaps no more so than when...
In 2023, despite experiencing a difficult year due to the impact of the global economic recession, with many efforts, Vietnamese businesses have been gradually asserting...
The general picture of business results showed that the headwind of global economic recession has significantly affected the Vietnamese macro situation and the business...
It is interesting that the US economy has just grown by close to 5% in annualised terms in Q3 and yet there’s a good deal of talk that recession is imminent. That might...
Selecting a suitable business strategy amidst the current global recession is crucial to Vietnamese firms, Vu Dang Vinh, General Director of Vietnam Report JSC, said,...
We’ve argued a number of times that recessions are likely in the US and much of Europe this year.
Tuna processing and export businesses are currently facing numerous difficulties due to a downturn in the import market, soaring prices of tuna raw materials reaching a...
The US has experienced no recession at all on the GDP measure according to the official adjudicators of recession in the US; the National Association of Business...
There is rising optimism in Europe and the US that many economies can evade the recession that was looking a near-certainty last year as the energy crisis escalated.
They say that if there’s no pain then there’s no gain and we can arguably put the Fed and other central banks in this category. They need to create pain in order to...
In a speech, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell declared that the central bank would "slow the pace" of rate hike. Will this lead to an increase in gold prices the following...
Following the Federal Reserve's meeting in November, the markets strengthened their bets on a slower tightening cycle, which helped gold mount a strong rally on Friday.
The US seems unlikely to escape a recession as it pays for excessive Covid-related fiscal stimulus, and a Fed that fell far behind the curve. The “price” of these...
Stagflation continues to haunt developed countries. The inflationary part of the story has been around for some time, and now the recessionary risks are coming to the...
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