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20/08/2025, 11:08

Will the ECB cut rates one more this year?

The US tariffs’ impact on eurozone growth could be bigger than the models might suggest that inflation will be lower, and that the ECB will be pushed into at least one...

by Admin
19/08/2025, 14:39

Will G10 currency volatility pick up?

G10 currency volatility remains at very low levels but many analysts expect volatility to pick up as we go through the rest of the year.

by Admin
07/08/2025, 11:06

Will the BoE continue to cut interest rates?

Many analysts expect the Bank of England (BoE) to cut the base rate by 25 bps today. They would like to see more. But more should come in time as they see the Bank...

by Admin
06/08/2025, 11:10

US tariffs: What impacts on the US dollar?

Even if some of the uncertainty related to the US’s erratic tariff policy starts to ease off, there are still the economic impacts of tariffs to consider and, these are...

by Admin
30/07/2025, 11:11

Will the US dollar drop on the US tariffs?

The tariff-related vulnerability of the US dollar switches to a vulnerability borne of Federal Reserve policy. As a result, the US dollar could fall with euro/US dollar...

by Admin
29/07/2025, 11:11

How do interest rates impact currencies?

If interest rates have any bearing at all on currencies, it is in real (inflation-adjusted) terms, not nominal terms. So, the fact that the Fed looks as if it will cut...

by Admin
16/07/2025, 11:21

Why has the pound started to fall back?

The pound remains under modest pressure on a trade-weighted basis after marking out a recent high back in late May. The Standard Bank lowered its expectations for...

by Admin
15/07/2025, 02:38

Policy rates may fall even further

According to economists Brian Lee Shun Rong and Chua Hak Bin from Maybank Group, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) has maintained accommodative policy through the first...

by Admin
14/07/2025, 11:06

Is there any brake on the US tariffs?

The Trump Administration has moved at breakneck speed this year with tariffs, tax cuts, deportations and more. Are there any brakes on the pace of and extent of US...

by Admin
04/07/2025, 10:05

Will the GBP keep its uptrend?

The pound (GBP) has been on a good run since the debacle of the infamous mini-budget of September 2022 which saw the pound fall close to parity against the dollar. It...

by Admin
01/07/2025, 11:03

What is driving the US dollar down?

The factors driving the US dollar seem to be pushing the greenback in the direction of an even bigger slide. The US dollar has already fallen by more than 10% this year...

by Admin
10/06/2025, 11:22

US dollar’s slide looks set to continue

The US dollar’s seemingly inexorable slide looks set to continue. The key in the shortterm is whether important psychological levels can be broken, such as 1.15...

by Admin
09/06/2025, 11:00

Will the ECB stop at neutral?

The ECB cut rates again last week; its eight such reduction in a row. In all, the deposit rate has been halved from 4% to 2% through this cycle. It is now at a level...

by Admin